2003 Kansas City Royals Baseball Graphs Review

Following are graphs and commentary regarding the 2003 season of the Kansas City Royals. Questions or comments can be sent to me at dave@baseballgraphs.com.



AL Central Standings The American League Central Race

Kansas City had a Cinderella run, but faded as Cinderella teams usually do. Actually, the Royals hung around first place much longer than seemed possible earlier in the year. They got off to a tremendous start, thanks to some great young pitching, won their first nine games and were six and a half games over .500 by April 24th. From that point on, they played 4.5 games under .500. However, they stubbornly hung on and refused to bow out of the pennant race until September.

The first thing to note is that they won 5 games more than their run differential would project.





Comments How to Read this Graph

You can see what I mean here. Their runs scored/allowed plants them firmly below the .500 line, pretty far behind Minnesota and Chicago. If you run your mouse over the graph, you'll see that they were right on .500 at midyear. Both the defense and offense got worse in the second half.

Kansas City's offense was fairly miraculous. They managed to score about the league-average runs per game, even though their slugging was below average in a hitter's park. The reason: they batted a league-best .304 with runners in scoring position. One key guy: Mike Sweeney. Sweeney batted .228 with no one on, .363 with runners on and .398 with runners in scoring position.

Move your mouse over this graph to view the status of each team at the season's midpoint (July 1st).


Pitching and Fielding

Fielding Independent Pitching is based on the following formula: (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP. Defense Efficiency Ratio is (Non-catcher putouts/Batted Balls in Play), adjusted for ballpark. Circle sizes in this graph are proportional to the percent of fieldable balls successfully converted into outs by the fielders.
The Royals' Pitching and Fielding

The Royals were slightly worse than average in runs allowed per game, despite the best efforts of their defense. Really, the team pitching was not up to snuff and their team FIP was fourth from the bottom of the pack.

Leskanic, Affeldt and MacDougal were the only pitchers with good FIPs, and only Leskanic also had a decent DER behind him. You can view all pitchers' ERA, FIP and DER here.

In the field, Carlos Beltran topped off his tremendous year with excellent fielding stats. And rookie Angel Berroa did a fine job in the field too.

How to Read this Graph


Kansas City Ten Game Averages
April May June July Aug Sept
OBP .349 .314 .351 .333 .341 .333
SLG .458 .385 .445 .434 .424 .426
FIP 1.04 1.61 2.01 2.56 1.64 1.36
DER .731 .693 .695 .754 .698 .720
The DER stats in this table are based on limited data; the trend between months per team is more valid than the absolute number.
The Royals Day-by-Day

Really, KC followed a great April with a lousy May, and then stabilized from there. As good as the pitching and fielding were in April, they were that bad in May. And oy, that offense in May -- anytime a team OPS is below .700, they are officially bad.

By the way, one of the reasons for the fast start was the schedule. In April, they played in division (including the Tigers, Indians and pre-good White Sox). May was spent playing teams like Toronto and Boston.



Kansas City Royals' Win Shares

Player          Team    Pos     Hit     Field   Pitch   Sum     WS 	
--------	-----	----	----	----	-----	-----	---	
C Beltran       KC      OF      21.48   6.50    0.00    27.98   28	
D May           KC      P       0.00    0.00    17.20   17.20   17	
A Berroa        KC      SS      9.64    6.09    0.00    15.73   16	
R Ibanez        KC      OF      11.81   3.57    0.00    15.38   15	
M Sweeney       KC      DH      13.96   0.74    0.00    14.70   15	
J Randa         KC      3B      10.83   3.40    0.00    14.23   14	
J Affeldt       KC      P       0.44    0.00    11.63   12.06   12	
A Guiel         KC      OF      8.90    2.58    0.00    11.48   12	
D Relaford      KC      2B      7.09    3.63    0.00    10.72   11	
B Mayne         KC      C       2.22    7.74    0.00    9.97    10	
M Tucker        KC      OF      7.11    2.34    0.00    9.44    9	
M MacDougal     KC      P       0.00    0.00    8.70    8.70    9	
K Harvey        KC      1B      5.16    1.58    0.00    6.74    7	
R Hernandez     KC      P       0.00    0.00    6.30    6.30    6	
M DiFelice      KC      C       3.05    2.67    0.00    5.72    6	
D Carrasco      KC      P       0.00    0.00    5.71    5.71    6	
J Lima          KC      P       0.00    0.00    5.38    5.38    5	
C Leskanic      KC      P       0.00    0.00    4.83    4.83    5	
B Anderson      KC      P       0.00    0.00    4.68    4.68    5	
R White         KC      OF      3.70    0.70    0.00    4.40    4	
J Grimsley      KC      P       0.00    0.00    4.19    4.19    4	
K Wilson        KC      P       0.00    0.00    3.75    3.75    4	
K Snyder        KC      P       0.00    0.00    3.66    3.66    4	
J Gobble        KC      P       0.00    0.00    3.21    3.21    3	
M Asencio       KC      P       0.00    0.00    2.56    2.56    3	
A Levine        KC      P       0.00    0.00    2.52    2.52    3	
P Abbott        KC      P       0.00    0.00    2.19    2.19    2	
C George        KC      P       0.22    0.00    1.87    2.09    2	
D Brown         KC      OF      1.09    0.90    0.00    1.98    2	
M Lopez         KC      1B      1.17    0.71    0.00    1.88    2	
N Field         KC      P       0.00    0.00    1.78    1.78    2	
J Wright        KC      P       0.00    0.00    1.62    1.62    2	
C Febles        KC      2B      0.00    1.43    0.00    1.43    1	
K Appier        KC      P       0.00    0.00    1.38    1.38    1	
S Lowe          KC      P       0.00    0.00    1.27    1.27    1	
B Berger        KC      OF      0.34    0.24    0.00    0.59    1	
D DeJesus       KC      OF      0.38    0.02    0.00    0.40    0	
J Matos         KC      3B      0.06    0.32    0.00    0.38    0	
J Gilfillan     KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.28    0.28    0	
B Abernathy     KC      2B      0.00    0.18    0.00    0.18    0	
J Hill          KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.16    0.16    0	
G Dawkins       KC      2B      0.00    0.04    0.00    0.04    0	
T Prince        KC      C       0.00    0.04    0.00    0.04    0	
J Patterson     KC      3B      0.00    0.02    0.00    0.02    0	
M Burkhart      KC      DH      0.00    0.02    0.00    0.02    0	
R Bukvich       KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
R DeHart        KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
R Johnson       KC      OF      0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
G Lloyd         KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
A Lopez         KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
S Mullen        KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
B Voyles        KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
L Walrond       KC      P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	

The Royals' Individual Players

Carlos Beltran had an All-Star year. And Darrell May came out of the blue to rack up a good share of pitching Win Shares (though he was more of a DER pitcher than a FIP pitcher).

Mike Sweeney might have gotten over 20 Win Shares if he hadn't missed over a month. And Affeldt stepped into a key bullpen role when Mike MacDougal lost it the second half of the year. Actually, it's hard to tell if MacDougal maybe just wasn't having DER go his way.

You can view all American League Win Shares data via the following links:
All Players, Top to Bottom
Players Ranked by Position
Players Fielding WS by Position